Still Holding in the EXTREME FIRE HAZARD Rating

BC Wildfire Service - Coastal Region - Fire Weather Forecast Issued: 12:00pm PDT Tuesday, August 30, 2022 

SYNOPSIS: An upper ridge remains, with the axis situated to the east over the Rockies today then Alberta tomorrow as an offshore upper low and associated trough start to dig. Overall sunnier conditions are expected through the Fire Centre although some cloud may linger today through the north, with occasional cloud expected tomorrow as well as the digging offshore trough starts to pull up some sub-tropical moisture from the southwest. No lightning is expected today although we should see some develop to the south over Washington, with development possible starting early tomorrow through southern zones and up the spine of the island. At the moment things look isolated, and we should see it moving up from the south for tomorrow. Temperatures climb another few degrees through all areas, with very light outflows over southern regions of the Fire Centre pulling drier RH values all the way down to the coast and onto parts of the island. Otherwise, winds are expected to remain light inflow through other areas, with some afternoon gustiness.

OUTLOOK Thursday to Saturday: Ridging conditions remain into early Friday, bringing warm to hot conditions under sunny skies, with waning potential for convection due to shifts in the flow however things will still need to be monitored. The upper trough is then expected to approach the coast late Friday and quickly move into the interior overnight, bringing increasing cloud with light showers just affecting outer coastal areas for the moment. Winds associated with this feature are only expected to affect offshore and outer coastal areas for the moment, but like convection should be monitored. 

CONFIDENCE/DISCUSSION: Good to fair confidence, particularly around possible convection for tomorrow. Not a neat and tidy pattern, and unfortunately has a lot of uncertainty attached.

6 TO 10 DAY Sunday through next Thursday: A series of ridges and troughs move through; however the trend is for southern areas to remain drier and the north to see periodic seasonal temperatures and possible showers as the pattern fluctuates.